0x731a4c3766d6875207cbc50a19871d165374659b
0x731a4c3766d6875207cbc50a19871d165374659b
- Realised P&L
- $-11.81
- Volume
- $882.36
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $138.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.38at 0.457Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 2?
- +$6.08at 0.417Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 2?
- +$5.46at 0.553Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?
- +$4.11at 0.598Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 1?
- +$3.57at 0.643Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-02 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.53 |
| 10-02 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.04 |
| 10-02 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.95 |
| 10-02 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-02 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-01 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.44 |