PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x731a4c3766d6875207cbc50a19871d165374659b

0x731a4c3766d6875207cbc50a19871d165374659b

Realised P&L
$-11.81
Volume
$882.36
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$138.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 3? · Yes0.5000.440$21.23−$2.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3? · Yes0.1750.300$18.69+$7.77
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3? · Yes0.3300.340$9.73+$0.29
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 3? · Yes0.4320.320$9.60−$3.35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4? · No0.7350.835$8.55+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 4? · Yes0.2530.270$7.98+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3? · No0.5300.435$7.21−$1.57
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 3? · No0.3300.340$6.29+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 3? · Yes0.1920.190$5.70−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3? · No0.4500.475$4.75+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 4? · No0.8100.835$4.33+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? · No0.7800.770$3.85−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2? · Yes0.1300.380$2.95+$1.94
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 4? · No0.8700.950$2.85+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 3? · No0.5600.495$2.48−$0.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 16:24Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 2?SELL0.998$4.99
10-02 15:04Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 2?SELL0.998$3.53
10-02 11:28Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 2?SELL0.999$4.04
10-02 11:25Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 2?SELL0.991$0.95
10-02 04:12Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2?BUY0.25$1.25
10-02 04:12Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2?BUY0.25$1.25
10-01 21:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 1?SELL0.998$5.44