PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hhdv

0x7312de48371d18a1f580b90e279e476d7aff9356

Realised P&L
$-196.65
Volume
$34.1k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$81.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2710.235$49.45−$7.55
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.075$28.64−$139.36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0420.011$3.34−$8.86
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? · No0.7410.000$0.00−$110.85
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.8250.000$0.00−$156.52
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15? · No0.9690.000$0.00−$8.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 20:14Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?BUY0.2708624315$57.00
10-12 20:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.957$57.42
09-14 19:51Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4399999998$168.00
09-14 19:49Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.77$167.94
09-04 21:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.74$19.08
08-27 10:28Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.73$86.21
02-05 19:26Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.042$12.20
01-20 16:55Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.75$140.23
01-08 22:43Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?SELL0.79$52.01
01-08 22:31Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.44$71.40
01-07 11:29U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?BUY0.75$54.26
01-07 11:29U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?BUY0.7380189814$55.21
01-07 00:11European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.83$104.55
01-07 00:07U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.81$13.04
01-07 00:07U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.81$76.11