scsuab
0x731226ef5a94b1b2bcd980c8c32dd8a7040792f7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $644.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,419
- Open portfolio
- $7.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,419
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$476.88at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$423.52at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 9?
- +$375.01at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$354.18at 0.297Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.147702786 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.2912814856 | $25.88 |
| 10-18 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.512 | $2.56 |
| 10-18 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.3196387724 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.3264094917 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 13:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $7.06 |
| 10-16 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 10-16 13:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 15:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $24.89 |
| 10-15 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $28.93 |
| 10-11 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $1.46 |
| 10-11 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.2723507287 | $5.79 |