0x730f6a2dbac7df0b46fe6127e1c530b28ced718f
0x730f6a2dbac7df0b46fe6127e1c530b28ced718f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.95
- Volume
- $125.87
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.785 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$1.71at 0.430Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?
- +$1.60at 0.560Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.48at 0.780Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
- +$1.25at 0.620Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:10 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:05 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.82 |
| 09-18 11:05 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.14 |
| 09-18 11:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-17 19:33 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:17 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:12 | Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:11 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 11:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 07:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.902 | $10.96 |
| 08-09 08:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999149 | $1.10 |
| 08-05 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |