PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Alisa-

0x730d1abf0fa608f06f52b7c99860e83d36a15aec

Realised P&L
$-12.31
Volume
$307.42
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$100.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? · Yes0.7160.725$92.08+$1.13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3140.335$8.24+$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 20:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.34$4.08
10-01 22:04Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?BUY0.75$35.25
10-01 12:37Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.14$3.36
10-01 12:36Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$3.60
10-01 10:12Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?BUY0.7$21.00
09-12 10:44Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2899999976$3.65
08-30 20:26Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?SELL0.19$3.66
08-25 21:20Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999918$8.00
08-25 20:58Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999916$7.80
08-25 20:57US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?SELL0.94$7.74
08-22 01:11US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?BUY0.8499999939$7.00
08-22 00:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.979$7.10
07-23 04:21US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6199999917$4.50
07-23 04:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.93$4.27
07-19 20:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.87$4.00