PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x73030ba7bdb05401f5987f2fb48c226109b8a395

Realised P&L
$84.16
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$13.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "The Fall-Off - J-Cole" be the top album for 2026? · No0.9410.994$9.51+$0.51
Will "The Romantic - Bruno Mars" be the top album for 2026? · No0.9200.979$2.13+$0.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8400.954$1.14+$0.14
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.9120.877$0.96$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 04:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.405$81.00
07-18 04:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.592$118.40
07-14 10:38Will "The Romantic - Bruno Mars" be the top album for 2026?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
07-14 10:38Will "The Fall-Off - J-Cole" be the top album for 2026?BUY0.9399999976$8.00
07-13 13:55Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 25?BUY0.98$0.28
07-13 13:55Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 25?BUY0.98$10.00
07-12 19:24Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199999487$2.95
07-12 19:18Will "The Fall-Off - J-Cole" be the top album for 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
07-12 19:15Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?BUY0.9945246146$10.00
07-12 18:49Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 25?BUY0.9705882096$60.00
07-12 18:48Will "Dai Dai" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?BUY0.9900693069$5.00
07-12 18:45Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week?BUY0.9900792079$10.00
07-12 18:45Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week?BUY0.9900891089$10.00
07-12 18:44Will "the cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week?BUY0.9900891089$10.00
07-12 15:03Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 25?BUY0.9889999999$86.00