win668
0x72fb41f878ea4d5bb5b66e0170511b0f9140e19a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $56.7k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $16.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.169 | $16.90 | +$11.90 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.87 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Sweden | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) · Australia | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · Senegal | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.64 |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) · Japan | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.434 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$373.89at 0.437Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$321.45at 0.091Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$227.79at 0.145Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
- +$194.30at 0.174Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$152.94at 0.557Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 21:08 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.67 |
| 07-06 19:38 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0469999997 | $157.95 |
| 07-06 19:37 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.145 | $167.65 |
| 06-29 17:58 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.024 | $20.64 |
| 06-29 17:58 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $21.74 |
| 06-29 17:57 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 17:57 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.10 |
| 06-29 17:57 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 17:54 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4599999996 | $480.42 |
| 06-29 14:41 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2699999997 | $500.00 |
| 06-26 18:54 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.2799999976 | $56.66 |
| 06-26 04:43 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 04:43 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 04:43 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.3899999994 | $200.00 |
| 06-25 20:11 | Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $30.00 |