AfgBoy
0x72f7fa6c7bd096cce1855a20a52b8fb444c88c54
- Realised P&L
- $-28.27
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $114.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.29at 0.253Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 18?
- +$14.81at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?
- +$10.46at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?
- +$9.82at 0.345Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?
- +$8.53at 0.377Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2254901864 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.0630977383 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3719072841 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2268512994 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2475247525 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.3495145522 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6088796345 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5263785116 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2349531978 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.4725618761 | $5.00 |