0x72f71744fbd6a9a4dd9843fb22ca5ccb5051b009
0x72f71744fbd6a9a4dd9843fb22ca5ccb5051b009
- Realised P&L
- $-8.53
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $485.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.543 | 0.595 | $252.88 | +$22.23 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 24? · No | 0.531 | 0.499 | $149.85 | −$9.45 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.477 | 0.395 | $81.22 | −$16.78 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 24? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.036 | $1.28 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.21at 0.362Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$-18.08at 0.765Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$-31.66at 0.211Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:59 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $63.25 |
| 09-23 23:07 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $76.39 |
| 09-23 21:15 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $216.00 |
| 09-23 17:27 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $225.00 |
| 09-23 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $0.80 |
| 09-22 16:05 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4766324451 | $98.00 |