LilDotC
0x72ea738b04896a257f87e656f6c495805a75ab9d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $109.8k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $569.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.029 | $545.83 | +$45.85 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.015 | $23.66 | −$1.34 |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| O/U 50.5 · Over | 0.497 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$420.00 |
| O/U 67.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$432.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: 49ers (-2.5) · Giants | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 48.5 · Under | 0.523 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| 49ers vs. Giants: O/U 47.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.38 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.50 |
| Hunter Henry: First Touchdown · Hunter Henry | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) · Patriots | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.117Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$385.97at 0.190Steelers vs. Bengals
- +$384.00at 0.520Penn State vs. Ohio State: O/U 44.5
- +$375.91at 0.530O/U 62.5
- +$369.23at 0.520O/U 52.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 16:57 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0153235217 | $25.00 |
| 07-27 16:52 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0270229375 | $500.00 |
| 07-20 16:40 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.4750558555 | $220.88 |
| 07-14 18:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.1147046381 | $106.66 |
| 07-02 19:05 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1344213243 | $250.00 |
| 05-02 17:08 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0225270872 | $14.13 |
| 02-11 13:42 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.2302178412 | $260.29 |
| 02-11 03:22 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1594753262 | $100.00 |
| 02-11 03:21 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.265334447 | $300.00 |
| 02-08 18:01 | Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 17:28 | Hunter Henry: First Touchdown | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 02-08 17:27 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $150.00 |
| 02-08 17:26 | Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $350.00 |
| 01-17 20:53 | Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.267897333 | $70.00 |
| 01-14 23:26 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |