firona
0x72debaaf70f61bb63628f77c52c115d31b074b85
- Realised P&L
- $-17.4k
- Volume
- $461.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,075
- Open portfolio
- $88.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,075
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$521.53at 0.265Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$489.25at 0.609Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$453.28at 0.554Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$356.18at 0.370Solana Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$318.00at 0.310LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 10-20 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 10-20 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $12.57 |
| 10-20 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SELL | 0.54 | $96.96 |
| 10-20 05:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 04:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $40.00 |
| 10-20 00:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $60.00 |
| 10-19 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $10.46 |
| 10-19 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $20.84 |
| 10-19 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.4851485124 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |