0x72De0b02A2f77Ee2b8cB9842B6F8c1752Ea8a5ED-1758869886187
0x72de0b02a2f77ee2b8cb9842b6f8c1752ea8a5ed
- Realised P&L
- $-7.0k
- Volume
- $766.8k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.119Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.2kat 0.384US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
- +$958.70at 0.069Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$897.30at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$667.00at 0.047Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | SELL | 0.12242022 | $61.21 |
| 09-15 14:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0152185767 | $32.72 |
| 09-10 16:25 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.028 | $30.80 |
| 09-10 16:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0254690558 | $54.76 |
| 09-09 20:26 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $34.62 |
| 09-09 20:25 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.0155106198 | $50.30 |
| 09-09 20:25 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.77 |
| 09-09 20:24 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | SELL | 0.028024393 | $44.87 |
| 09-09 20:23 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.041 | $83.23 |
| 09-05 08:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.03433304 | $34.33 |
| 09-04 19:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.053 | $28.50 |
| 09-03 14:45 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.352 | $316.80 |
| 09-03 14:44 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4648858938 | $912.32 |
| 08-31 19:43 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.042 | $59.63 |
| 08-30 20:08 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $50.86 |