2464563srgegerg
0x72d8de901d81827a1fce5174a156b55184d8be4e
- Realised P&L
- $394.20
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $12.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.910 | $2.14 | +$0.40 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.850 | 0.966 | $2.09 | +$0.25 |
| Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.935 | $2.08 | +$0.12 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.945 | $2.08 | +$0.19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.810 | 0.885 | $1.96 | +$0.17 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.905 | $1.67 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$379.39at 0.875Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$10.13at 0.995Clippers vs. Nuggets
- +$3.95at 0.210Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
- +$3.02at 0.997Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$2.66at 0.330Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 07:20 | Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999641 | $1.96 |
| 10-14 12:19 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999869 | $1.78 |
| 10-14 12:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.81 |
| 10-04 18:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.7799998689 | $1.19 |
| 10-04 18:39 | Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.29 |
| 09-19 11:50 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999659 | $1.97 |
| 09-09 08:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099998326 | $1.79 |
| 09-09 08:40 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.32 |
| 08-24 09:20 | Augsburg: Robert Strombachs vs Kai Wehnelt | BUY | 0.8099999249 | $1.51 |
| 08-24 09:20 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.17 |
| 08-13 11:24 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999727 | $1.89 |
| 08-06 11:26 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.8879998309 | $1.68 |
| 07-30 08:23 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799996623 | $1.94 |
| 07-23 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | BUY | 0.8299999623 | $1.76 |
| 07-16 12:19 | Critical Discord Incident by July 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.95 |