PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2464563srgegerg

0x72d8de901d81827a1fce5174a156b55184d8be4e

Realised P&L
$394.20
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$12.01

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.910$2.14+$0.40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8500.966$2.09+$0.25
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.935$2.08+$0.12
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.945$2.08+$0.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8100.885$1.96+$0.17
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.9680.905$1.67−$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 07:20Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999641$1.96
10-14 12:19Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?BUY0.9679999869$1.78
10-14 12:18Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?SELL0.53$0.81
10-04 18:40Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.7799998689$1.19
10-04 18:39Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?SELL0.63$1.29
09-19 11:50Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8399999659$1.97
09-09 08:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.8099998326$1.79
09-09 08:40Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?SELL0.7$1.32
08-24 09:20Augsburg: Robert Strombachs vs Kai WehneltBUY0.8099999249$1.51
08-24 09:20Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.47$1.17
08-13 11:24Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999727$1.89
08-06 11:26Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.8879998309$1.68
07-30 08:23Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.7799996623$1.94
07-23 11:46Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?BUY0.8299999623$1.76
07-16 12:19Critical Discord Incident by July 31?BUY0.96$1.95