0x72d07f38c6a6f23c4f54dbd749b24be3fda94ac6
- Realised P&L
- $-3.61
- Volume
- $79.38
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $13.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.670 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.340 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · No | 0.580 | 0.645 | $1.97 | +$0.20 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.465 | $1.78 | −$0.13 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.390 | $1.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.585 | $1.72 | −$0.28 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.490 | 0.375 | $1.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.022 | $0.13 | −$1.87 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.003 | $0.02 | −$1.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.45at 0.310Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.390Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:47 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 00:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 04:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 11:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 00:14 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 07:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999895 | $1.89 |
| 07-31 22:19 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 14:18 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.5799998886 | $1.77 |
| 07-31 06:02 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 19:40 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 02:10 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-28 21:51 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 12:58 | Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.53 |