uzurpator
0x72c53ef00ce0cf8b340775fcd16cf08635ee668e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $53.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.640 | $50.56 | +$3.16 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $2.94 | +$0.02 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) · Spurs | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$477.62 |
| Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$651.19 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.54 |
| Giants vs. Patriots · Giants | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$153.85 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.480San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
- +$780.00at 0.610Vikings vs. Chargers
- +$651.19at 0.560Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
- +$149.56at 0.690San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$113.85at 0.260Bears vs. Eagles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9399999936 | $2.92 |
| 10-01 13:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $47.40 |
| 07-16 22:58 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9 | $76.55 |
| 07-13 23:53 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.778 | $59.79 |
| 06-04 15:07 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.974 | $10.31 |
| 05-31 15:51 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-05-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $336.30 |
| 05-28 23:52 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.951 | $47.55 |
| 11-28 11:17 | Bears vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.26 | $40.00 |
| 10-23 13:00 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 10-23 13:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $13.20 |
| 10-23 13:00 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.932 | $27.96 |
| 04-25 22:23 | Pacers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.34 | $196.79 |
| 04-23 16:20 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-23? | BUY | 0.91 | $179.08 |