QuantQuark887
0x72c3112c460638aae715d4f181e4bddb817262e4
- Realised P&L
- $-331.36
- Volume
- $201.5k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.48at 0.438Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$102.35at 0.623Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$100.55at 0.918Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
- +$98.50at 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$96.15at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 06:58 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 09-09 01:20 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $197.60 |
| 09-09 01:11 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.921 | $92.10 |
| 09-03 05:03 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 08-30 04:09 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9702509363 | $259.06 |
| 08-29 03:30 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $189.80 |
| 08-26 03:33 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9825720229 | $245.63 |
| 08-25 04:12 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $195.60 |
| 08-24 14:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-24 04:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.977 | $195.40 |
| 08-22 03:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.98413875 | $196.83 |
| 08-21 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $197.60 |
| 08-18 03:45 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.3105 | $62.10 |
| 08-16 03:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 08-16 03:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |