Evan04
0x72bec34f8a6971b1454238d8feedc576bfc054e8
- Realised P&L
- $5.68
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 621
- Open portfolio
- $6.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded621
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.984 | 0.994 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.961 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.981 | 0.982 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.74at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.65at 0.787Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5
- +$11.95at 0.283Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$6.16at 0.775Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$5.69at 0.725Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:22 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.997 | $80.76 |
| 10-02 20:11 | Spread: Poland (-2.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 10-02 20:08 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:33 | France vs. Italy: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:05 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:27 | Spread: South Africa (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-29 17:53 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9644649859 | $95.00 |
| 09-29 17:51 | Ghana vs. Gambia: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $94.17 |
| 09-29 16:47 | Ghana vs. Gambia: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.954724408 | $90.00 |
| 09-29 16:46 | Ghana leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 09-28 17:54 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:48 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.98 | $90.00 |
| 09-28 17:46 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:24 | Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.63 | $1.34 |
| 09-28 16:48 | Georgia vs. Ukraine: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |