PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Acaciatree

0x72b2a9e6740e5d05d421ae09cd3f536492961c91

Realised P&L
$5.0k
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$11.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar47.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.3500.640$6.40+$2.90
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election? · No0.3500.355$3.55+$0.05
Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania? · Pennsylvania0.3200.150$1.55−$1.75
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$3.00
Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.6100.000$0.00−$10.00
Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.3500.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 10:50Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.35$3.50
10-25 10:44Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?BUY0.32$3.30
10-25 10:43Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?BUY0.35$3.50
09-27 09:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-27 09:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-27 09:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-27 09:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSELL0.94$2.76
09-27 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-27 09:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSELL0.42$2.00
09-27 09:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-27 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
09-27 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.3632436642$1.00
09-27 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.559999776$1.00
09-27 09:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETSELL0.81$8.10
09-27 09:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.1$1.00