Acaciatree
0x72b2a9e6740e5d05d421ae09cd3f536492961c91
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $11.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar47.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.500Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5
- +$48.19at 0.468Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
- +$6.93at 0.106Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
- +$4.00at 0.716Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamoto
- +$2.99at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 10:50 | Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 10-25 10:44 | Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.30 |
| 10-25 10:43 | Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-27 09:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $2.76 |
| 09-27 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3632436642 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-27 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |