e0bb
0x72afd8180da1e80b2dc9b473bc9dc8f0173f50ba
- Realised P&L
- $-78.21
- Volume
- $95.2k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $23.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $19.11 | −$95.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 15? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 15? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.17 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.995 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.007Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$10.00at 0.007Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.74at 0.976Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
- +$0.14at 0.993Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?
- +$0.04at 0.998Aston Villa wins the Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.97 |
| 09-15 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.17 |
| 09-15 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9949991344 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 08:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? | BUY | 0.99899932 | $1.19 |
| 06-27 08:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? | BUY | 0.9989998306 | $1.71 |
| 06-27 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.36 |
| 06-27 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.33 |
| 06-27 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.17 |
| 06-27 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.33 |
| 06-27 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.23 |
| 05-06 15:23 | Will Solana reach $170 in May? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.50 |
| 05-06 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.28 |
| 05-06 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.85 |