0x72a71c61e617b1f38db41d1eea2b8169df7bc680
0x72a71c61e617b1f38db41d1eea2b8169df7bc680
- Realised P&L
- $2.64
- Volume
- $261.09
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $7.21
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.984 | $2.98 | +$0.98 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.835 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.780 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$3.21at 0.389Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:14 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 20:13 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 10:46 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:44 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 17:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 06:08 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 18:09 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 10:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999767 | $1.89 |
| 09-03 12:39 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:31 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 14:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 02:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 03:17 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998634 | $1.18 |