PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AstralEX

0x72a4225e57e4c4a3b86666a1b381232e6d42aa66

Realised P&L
$137.50
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$79.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1820.170$56.95$4.15
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? · Yes0.1950.101$16.36$15.31
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0750.039$6.24$5.76
Will Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026? · No0.2600.000$0.00$33.80
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No0.0600.000$0.00$3.00
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? · No0.0110.000$0.00$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 22:01Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.0022748922$0.73
08-27 13:47Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$6.40
06-05 13:10Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?BUY0.3119999663$4.00
02-24 16:43Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.992$39.68
01-28 15:59Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.93$53.45
01-28 15:08Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.63$25.20
01-23 10:22Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.8699999988$50.00
01-23 09:15Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$100.10
01-16 17:21Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$100.00
01-10 15:43Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?SELL0.6$6.00
01-10 15:09Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?SELL0.09$13.50
11-09 12:41US recession in 2025?SELL0.036$3.24
04-08 15:38US recession in 2025?BUY0.58$8.70
07-16 08:48Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.7199999982$249.49
07-15 18:01Biden drops out of presidential race?BUY0.3799999833$10.00