AstralEX
0x72a4225e57e4c4a3b86666a1b381232e6d42aa66
- Realised P&L
- $137.50
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $79.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.170 | $56.95 | −$4.15 |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.101 | $16.36 | −$15.31 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.039 | $6.24 | −$5.76 |
| Will Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.80 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.01at 0.202MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
- +$162.00at 0.147Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$93.45at 0.510Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
- +$27.30at 0.695Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$20.08at 0.490Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 22:01 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.0022748922 | $0.73 |
| 08-27 13:47 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.40 |
| 06-05 13:10 | Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | BUY | 0.3119999663 | $4.00 |
| 02-24 16:43 | Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.992 | $39.68 |
| 01-28 15:59 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $53.45 |
| 01-28 15:08 | Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 01-23 10:22 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8699999988 | $50.00 |
| 01-23 09:15 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $100.10 |
| 01-16 17:21 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $100.00 |
| 01-10 15:43 | Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 01-10 15:09 | Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.09 | $13.50 |
| 11-09 12:41 | US recession in 2025? | SELL | 0.036 | $3.24 |
| 04-08 15:38 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.58 | $8.70 |
| 07-16 08:48 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7199999982 | $249.49 |
| 07-15 18:01 | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |