rpmontoya
0x729621279741c954abcaca46465bdc1f355669f5
- Realised P&L
- $-52.99
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $66.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.22at 0.411LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$62.48at 0.041Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$47.08at 0.315Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 23?
- +$43.96at 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$35.47at 0.417Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 12:13 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.958 | $4.79 |
| 07-03 12:12 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.59 |
| 07-03 12:12 | Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | SELL | 0.1273051225 | $5.72 |
| 07-03 12:12 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.952 | $7.76 |
| 07-03 12:12 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $13.02 |
| 07-03 12:12 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $25.29 |
| 07-03 12:11 | OPEC dissolves in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $25.55 |
| 07-03 12:11 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.973 | $26.15 |
| 07-03 12:11 | Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.982 | $28.55 |
| 06-01 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1? | SELL | 0.95 | $22.02 |
| 06-01 00:08 | Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.28 | $25.00 |
| 05-31 15:23 | Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.9468195289 | $24.92 |
| 05-31 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.24 |
| 05-31 05:42 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.36 | $25.00 |
| 05-31 02:53 | Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $48.97 |