whatface
0x728d4e84fd963c77466a8c9db9a078bb334e0cf3
- Realised P&L
- $-606.95
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $93.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes | 0.935 | 0.949 | $37.96 | +$0.56 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No | 0.820 | 0.810 | $24.30 | −$0.30 |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? · No | 0.980 | 0.966 | $21.24 | −$0.32 |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.495 | $9.90 | −$6.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.14at 0.926Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?
- +$17.03at 0.695Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
- +$16.81at 0.450Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$12.50at 0.800Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
- +$11.42at 0.900US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:29 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $21.56 |
| 10-08 09:29 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? | BUY | 0.935 | $37.40 |
| 10-08 09:28 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $24.60 |
| 09-18 09:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.91 |
| 09-18 09:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $51.66 |
| 09-18 09:41 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $41.92 |
| 09-04 09:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.982 | $6.87 |
| 08-05 13:03 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.984 | $6.39 |
| 08-05 13:03 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.9499999762 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 13:03 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.9499999762 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 08:11 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY | 0.9256894415 | $42.95 |
| 07-22 08:10 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.8999999892 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 10:26 | Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.08 | $14.30 |
| 07-18 10:26 | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.1099999967 | $28.00 |
| 07-18 10:25 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $72.00 |