0x72862fec357f3f63658acfe82074a1c1c16d1f9d
- Realised P&L
- $2.36
- Volume
- $576.80
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $0.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.565 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Up | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.66at 0.119Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
- +$1.56at 0.671Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
- +$1.26at 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$0.99at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$0.93at 0.219Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:21 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.072 | $2.88 |
| 09-15 21:19 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.0719999994 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 21:19 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.0659047943 | $3.88 |
| 09-15 21:17 | Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.557 | $5.06 |
| 09-15 21:05 | Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 21:05 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 21:04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.859 | $4.29 |
| 09-15 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.45 |
| 09-15 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $1.06 |
| 09-15 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $1.52 |
| 09-15 01:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.25 |