0x727fF5E0f0C29E552890E1A776d68689B056e106-1767666502023
0x727ff5e0f0c29e552890e1a776d68689b056e106
- Realised P&L
- $13.42
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $5.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.996 | 0.995 | $5.99 | −$0.01 |
| Wizards vs. Magic · Wizards | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.00at 0.580Raptors vs. Pacers
- +$2.58at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 03:26 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 09:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 06-15 07:20 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $12.79 |
| 05-29 07:06 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999995 | $12.80 |
| 04-16 07:35 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.16 |
| 03-24 06:33 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.76 |
| 03-17 02:57 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $10.78 |
| 03-11 06:19 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.992 | $10.10 |
| 03-04 06:57 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9929999994 | $10.11 |
| 03-03 06:06 | Wizards vs. Magic | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 01-22 08:46 | Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.998 | $134.20 |
| 01-22 06:24 | Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.999 | $134.34 |
| 01-22 06:19 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.992 | $233.12 |
| 01-22 03:39 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.993 | $233.36 |