0x727f5468D7A291D95baBdA055a1D9Cf923158927-1771017842835
0x727f5468d7a291d95babda055a1d9cf923158927
- Realised P&L
- $-189.02
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $0.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.36at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$48.78at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$45.29at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$43.32at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$28.40at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 19:47 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 19:22 | Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Karl Poling | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 18:54 | Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 18:50 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.959 | $1.01 |
| 08-16 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.01 |
| 08-15 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 21:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.251583911 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9699997866 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.97 |