PolyBot

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Traders

0x727f5468D7A291D95baBdA055a1D9Cf923158927-1771017842835

0x727f5468d7a291d95babda055a1d9cf923158927

Realised P&L
$-189.02
Volume
$13.3k
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$0.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0170.007$0.44$0.56
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0200.005$0.25$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00$25.00
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama · Kayla Day0.6200.000$0.00$2.00
Targu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu · Maia Ilinca Burcescu0.5300.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down0.6100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka · Hayato Matsuoka0.1110.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 19:47Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliBUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-17 19:22Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Karl PolingBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-16 18:54Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar KovacevicBUY0.75$1.00
08-16 18:50Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?SELL0.959$1.01
08-16 17:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-15 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-15 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSELL0.99$1.01
08-15 21:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.98$1.00
08-15 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.251583911$1.00
08-15 21:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.9699997866$1.00
08-15 20:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.5599999776$5.00
08-15 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.8$5.00
08-15 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.2$1.00
08-15 19:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.54$1.00
08-15 19:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSELL0.99$6.97