serversidejokes
0x727d5cefdfab4b4ecfb90f4a2d662677a7a01dbc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $217.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,483
- Open portfolio
- $0.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,483
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.04at 0.276Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$154.67at 0.134Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$143.04at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$128.78at 0.122Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$122.14at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.5899999601 | $4.88 |
| 09-28 09:56 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.991 | $5.28 |
| 09-28 09:08 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.9299999925 | $4.96 |
| 09-28 08:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.11 |
| 09-28 08:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.16 |
| 09-28 08:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $4.96 |
| 09-28 08:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.97 |
| 09-28 07:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-28 07:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-28 06:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-28 06:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.97 |
| 09-27 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.60 |
| 09-27 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.08 |
| 09-27 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 27? | SELL | 0.9972406984 | $261.60 |