Xuxito
0x7277ac5c4c24771d8ed0bcd75816e93800b1ab80
- Realised P&L
- $-129.3k
- Volume
- $2.93M
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.938 | 0.967 | $1.0k | +$29.54 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.075 | $469.58 | −$2.8k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.065 | $388.25 | −$2.1k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.935 | $55.70 | +$5.66 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.922 | $15.40 | +$1.71 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.921 | 0.955 | $12.45 | +$0.43 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$456.33 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.2k |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.3kat 0.437Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 26?
- +$8.1kat 0.811Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?
- +$6.5kat 0.418Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 28?
- +$6.2kat 0.589Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?
- +$6.0kat 0.402Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 02:22 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2049811742 | $642.41 |
| 03-15 02:16 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.984 | $19.70 |
| 03-15 02:10 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $761.85 |
| 03-15 02:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.963 | $508.50 |
| 03-14 07:27 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 03-11 01:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.23 |
| 03-08 01:05 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.915 | $2.1k |
| 03-05 04:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.87 | $10.44 |
| 02-27 09:36 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.919 | $1.9k |
| 02-22 03:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | BUY | 0.974 | $9.74 |
| 02-16 03:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $33.74 |
| 01-31 10:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.32 |
| 01-31 06:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.01 |
| 01-31 05:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February? | BUY | 0.988928427 | $4.9k |
| 01-31 04:44 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February? | BUY | 0.9893857422 | $811.20 |