0x72752CABF379803F0a7bB14981A5cA161C8C5522-1726338668785
0x72752cabf379803f0a7bb14981a5ca161c8c5522
- Realised P&L
- $-0.47
- Volume
- $155.24
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? · No | 0.350 | 0.345 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.496Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.49at 0.806Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.02at 0.954Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
- +$-0.10at 0.230Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$-0.20at 0.400Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 18:03 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.80099968 | $2.04 |
| 10-17 13:34 | Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:57 | Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.20 |
| 10-08 12:20 | Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024? | BUY | 0.4 | $0.20 |
| 10-08 12:19 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.229998551 | $0.10 |
| 10-04 06:36 | Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.50 |
| 10-04 06:35 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BUY | 0.9539999389 | $0.50 |
| 10-04 06:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.495999758 | $1.00 |