WorldHelloER
0x726e9d517a96053a87d3beafae95a3678539aafb
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $133.4k
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $0.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.724 | 0.001 | $0.21 | −$298.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? · No | 0.700 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$7.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 7? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 7? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$161.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on July 7? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 2? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$906.54at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 22?
- +$545.05at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
- +$478.26at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?
- +$398.45at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?
- +$377.80at 0.196Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7573115183 | $11.00 |
| 08-08 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $31.92 |
| 08-08 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7483333333 | $11.22 |
| 08-08 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7675581395 | $33.00 |
| 08-08 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 08-08 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7048591634 | $211.30 |
| 08-07 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.8126940769 | $114.84 |
| 08-07 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 08-07 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.786097561 | $32.23 |
| 08-07 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.7968896401 | $64.00 |
| 08-07 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.922635404 | $53.32 |
| 08-07 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.748249 | $74.82 |
| 08-07 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6875 | $27.50 |
| 08-07 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6743226724 | $47.44 |
| 08-07 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.20 |