PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

idl

0x726c6e3d5cdb1a8a97b38c0e2d88448b19d66bfd

Realised P&L
$3.8k
Volume
$156.4k
Markets traded
949
Open portfolio
$9.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded949
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? · No0.2910.780$2.2k+$1.4k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.7090.705$705.00−$4.50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6030.725$511.94+$86.10
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5540.438$497.75−$132.59
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3520.605$424.98+$177.65
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.3700.395$395.00+$25.00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4860.595$369.54+$67.61
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.5540.435$324.41−$89.06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.725$294.35+$38.57
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.7100.705$283.66−$2.12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6300.715$256.69+$30.52
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6570.705$245.02+$16.66
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.945$237.10+$8.78
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.6200.725$220.85+$31.99
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6900.725$217.50+$10.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:46Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.75$26.25
11-01 22:24Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.37$370.00
11-01 17:57Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?BUY0.82$8.20
11-01 16:47Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.66$6.60
11-01 15:37Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?SELL0.0025088063$0.03
11-01 03:17Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.68$34.00
11-01 03:16Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$104.00
10-31 17:34Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$36.40
10-31 17:052026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.71$106.50
10-31 00:43Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.05$25.00
10-31 00:40Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.64$6.40
10-31 00:302026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.7$35.00
10-31 00:21Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.69$172.50
10-30 20:542026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.71$71.00
10-30 18:17Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?BUY0.32$85.44