idl
0x726c6e3d5cdb1a8a97b38c0e2d88448b19d66bfd
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $156.4k
- Markets traded
- 949
- Open portfolio
- $9.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded949
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$308.43at 0.379Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?
- +$251.60at 0.401Will Trump say "Jerusalem" in August?
- +$236.67at 0.161Will Elon post "Never" on X this week?
- +$234.60at 0.189Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?
- +$226.36at 0.766Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:46 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.75 | $26.25 |
| 11-01 22:24 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $370.00 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 11-01 16:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.0025088063 | $0.03 |
| 11-01 03:17 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 11-01 03:16 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 10-31 17:34 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $36.40 |
| 10-31 17:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $106.50 |
| 10-31 00:43 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 00:40 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-31 00:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 10-31 00:21 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $172.50 |
| 10-30 20:54 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 10-30 18:17 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.32 | $85.44 |