iabsjbi1
0x7265add85b7dd1690459d107211b1075f66b703a
- Realised P&L
- $-144.33
- Volume
- $35.5k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $55.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · Yes | 0.933 | 0.629 | $44.06 | −$21.25 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.133 | $11.70 | −$14.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.36at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$10.82at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$5.41at 0.270Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$3.71at 0.350Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
- +$1.83at 0.982Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 05:55 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.838 | $83.80 |
| 09-09 04:45 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.845 | $84.50 |
| 09-09 02:53 | Will LAPTOP launch on Base? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.06 |
| 09-09 02:36 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | SELL | 0.952 | $95.20 |
| 09-09 02:20 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? | SELL | 0.0112438325 | $0.39 |
| 09-09 00:45 | Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.8799 | $87.99 |
| 09-08 21:57 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | SELL | 0.9393 | $93.93 |
| 09-08 20:12 | Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1206 | $12.06 |
| 09-08 19:26 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.7866 | $78.66 |
| 09-08 19:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.444903012 | $7.39 |
| 09-08 17:27 | Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | SELL | 0.79 | $51.88 |
| 09-08 17:27 | Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.5648602 | $56.49 |
| 09-08 17:22 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.4518875399 | $35.36 |
| 09-08 17:19 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | SELL | 0.054 | $5.40 |
| 09-08 17:14 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.193 | $5.30 |