Manuglnb
0x726142108f5bf483676f6db9cdced5886fd192f9
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $596.4k
- Markets traded
- 11,148
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,148
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up | 0.985 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.40 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET · Up | 0.996 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.75 |
| BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.60 |
| Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Clippers vs. Hawks · Hawks | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Nets vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bucks vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.30 |
| Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.80at 0.483Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$50.04at 0.906Solana Up or Down - August 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$45.94at 0.207Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$36.63at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3PM ET
- +$30.66at 0.944Solana Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-21 09:55 | Solana Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-21 09:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-21 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Solana Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $17.82 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-21 09:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 09-21 09:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 09-21 09:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-21 09:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-21 09:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-21 08:28 | Solana Up or Down - September 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-21 08:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-21 08:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-21 08:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |