PolyBot

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Traders

0x725de80cdaa39fafabd8b4eef6122f47d54e019e

0x725de80cdaa39fafabd8b4eef6122f47d54e019e

Realised P&L
$15.44
Volume
$770.64
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$26.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 6? · Yes0.0900.205$2.28+$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 6? · Yes0.2000.320$1.60+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 6? · Yes0.1500.230$1.53+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 5? · Yes0.2200.320$1.45+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 5? · Yes0.1100.300$1.37+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 6? · Yes0.1300.175$1.35+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6? · Yes0.1800.230$1.28+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 5? · Yes0.0800.099$1.24+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 6? · Yes0.2200.255$1.16+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 6? · Yes0.0700.081$1.16+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7? · Yes0.2100.240$1.14+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6? · Yes0.1900.190$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 6? · Yes0.2100.205$0.98−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6? · Yes0.2100.200$0.95−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 7? · Yes0.1500.140$0.93−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 19:59Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-05 19:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 5?SELL0.23$1.04
10-05 19:54Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 5?SELL0.24$1.33
10-05 19:21Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5?SELL0.5564500846$3.29
10-05 17:54Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 6?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-05 17:51Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-05 16:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 6?SELL0.4$2.35
10-05 16:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 6?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-05 16:10Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-05 16:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 5?SELL0.86$7.16
10-05 13:58Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 7?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-05 13:26Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 7?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-05 13:18Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-05 12:58Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 6?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-05 12:58Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?BUY0.1799999856$1.00