0x725b01530fac8233c73596b864026cd80a64f26b
0x725b01530fac8233c73596b864026cd80a64f26b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.32
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $101.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.735 | $55.06 | +$4.12 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.695 | $46.86 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.46at 0.620Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$57.18at 0.600Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$54.49at 0.540Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$28.63at 0.735Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
- +$26.01at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:18 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.7099999979 | $47.87 |
| 09-23 17:31 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6799999973 | $50.94 |
| 09-20 12:48 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7299999998 | $73.91 |
| 09-19 21:15 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $61.08 |
| 09-19 08:43 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7799999974 | $47.69 |
| 09-17 19:01 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $31.41 |
| 09-16 04:34 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $57.95 |
| 09-15 16:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.8099999974 | $37.95 |
| 07-04 21:58 | Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France? | SELL | 0.142 | $42.63 |
| 07-04 21:52 | Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France? | BUY | 0.1489999973 | $44.73 |
| 07-04 21:48 | France leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.13 | $24.83 |
| 07-04 21:48 | Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.16 | $22.73 |
| 07-04 20:53 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $116.52 |
| 07-03 07:17 | Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $106.55 |
| 07-02 22:05 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7249999979 | $78.21 |