PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dscccc

0x7256d9800179e68784d29b59c4f43244db5d4b39

Realised P&L
$-25.50
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$3.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? · Yes0.6600.665$3.02+$0.02
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? · No0.9480.000$0.00$7.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00$2.00
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Sriram Krishnan be the next CEO of X? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Jason Calacanis be the next CEO of X? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.10
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$3.50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.25
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026? · No0.6300.000$0.00$37.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 09:24Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.998$5.07
09-03 11:50Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.6599999296$3.00
08-02 05:23Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.935539777$6.80
08-02 05:22Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9499999182$7.55
07-02 17:10Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?BUY0.999$12.00
07-02 17:09New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? BUY0.9929998786$7.50
06-01 11:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.9829999988$5.64
06-01 11:04Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?BUY0.996$5.00
06-01 11:00US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?BUY0.93$4.10
05-07 02:16Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?BUY0.9599999338$5.80
04-29 06:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?BUY0.94$2.00
04-29 06:24Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 30?BUY0.996$2.43
04-20 18:44Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?BUY0.9589166227$5.38
04-20 18:43Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.977$9.92
04-11 16:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.9829998872$8.32