dscccc
0x7256d9800179e68784d29b59c4f43244db5d4b39
- Realised P&L
- $-25.50
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $3.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.17at 0.985Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
- +$7.60at 0.989Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
- +$3.23at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$3.02at 0.731Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?
- +$2.58at 0.920Will Japan win on 2025-11-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 09:24 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.07 |
| 09-03 11:50 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.6599999296 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 05:23 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.935539777 | $6.80 |
| 08-02 05:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999182 | $7.55 |
| 07-02 17:10 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 07-02 17:09 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? | BUY | 0.9929998786 | $7.50 |
| 06-01 11:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9829999988 | $5.64 |
| 06-01 11:04 | Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 11:00 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.10 |
| 05-07 02:16 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8? | BUY | 0.9599999338 | $5.80 |
| 04-29 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.43 |
| 04-20 18:44 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21? | BUY | 0.9589166227 | $5.38 |
| 04-20 18:43 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.977 | $9.92 |
| 04-11 16:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9829998872 | $8.32 |