0x7250b0D6Cb424772911aAf26019eefc930BA50D3-1772475126822
0x7250b0d6cb424772911aaf26019eefc930ba50d3
- Realised P&L
- $229.41
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $467.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.10at 0.137Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$78.57at 0.560Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.66at 0.189Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.26at 0.600Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$21.95at 0.372US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2529999994 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 13:45 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 17:39 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.904 | $71.39 |
| 10-24 17:39 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.1852555255 | $34.95 |
| 10-24 17:39 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.709 | $17.63 |
| 10-23 21:20 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $29.12 |
| 10-23 18:08 | Will Trump nationalize elections? | BUY | 0.0899999997 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 04:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 20:26 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 04:59 | Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 04:58 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $35.00 |
| 10-12 08:26 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 20:56 | Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | BUY | 0.0352112676 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 20:54 | Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0219999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 20:54 | Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0325672977 | $20.00 |