ahahahaha123
0x724c83d87faa588d2fc1ed8e0de964cb7d7264c4
- Realised P&L
- $-761.77
- Volume
- $48.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,007
- Open portfolio
- $44.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,007
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$4.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.640 | $14.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.585 | 0.365 | $9.36 | −$5.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.577 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$14.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.623 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$14.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.609 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.00at 0.470Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 12PM ET
- +$106.00at 0.470Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 11AM ET
- +$105.99at 0.470Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 6AM ET
- +$105.98at 0.470Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 5AM ET
- +$79.50at 0.470Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.58466453 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6232358012 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.576965151 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.22 |
| 09-17 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.56650583 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.5364238403 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9299999572 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.6090971584 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6757965434 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.21 |
| 09-17 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.96 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6414473515 | $15.00 |