PolyBot

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Traders

Armagedon1

0x724ad54ecccee93d93178536ef6aa563c66d74ae

Realised P&L
$13.77
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
324
Open portfolio
$2.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded324
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Yi Zhou (+1.5) · Pablo Carreno Busta0.5700.495$1.04−$0.16
China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino · Adrian Mannarino0.4000.395$0.99−$0.01
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? · No0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20? · No0.6220.000$0.00−$1.00
Game Spread: Liudmila Samsonova (-1.5) vs Peyton Stearns (+1.5) · Liudmila Samsonova0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Set Handicap: Iva Jovic (-1.5) vs Cristina Bucsa (+1.5) · Cristina Bucsa0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns · Liudmila Samsonova0.6000.000$0.00−$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 21:19China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian MannarinoBUY0.4$1.00
09-27 21:17Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Yi Zhou (+1.5)BUY0.5699998385$1.20
09-27 21:17Game Spread: Zachary Svajda (-2.5) vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (+2.5)BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-25 20:38Will England win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-20 13:00Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-20 12:59Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.6217923288$1.00
09-18 23:06Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton StearnsBUY0.6$1.20
09-18 23:06Game Spread: Liudmila Samsonova (-1.5) vs Peyton Stearns (+1.5)BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-18 23:03Set Handicap: Iva Jovic (-1.5) vs Cristina Bucsa (+1.5)BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-18 12:54Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-17 21:35Set Handicap: Marta Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Liudmila Samsonova (+1.5)BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-16 17:40Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-16 17:39Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-16 13:04Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-14 19:25Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)BUY0.5699999386$1.30