Armagedon1
0x724ad54ecccee93d93178536ef6aa563c66d74ae
- Realised P&L
- $13.77
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 324
- Open portfolio
- $2.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded324
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Yi Zhou (+1.5) · Pablo Carreno Busta | 0.570 | 0.495 | $1.04 | −$0.16 |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino · Adrian Mannarino | 0.400 | 0.395 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.622 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Game Spread: Liudmila Samsonova (-1.5) vs Peyton Stearns (+1.5) · Liudmila Samsonova | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Set Handicap: Iva Jovic (-1.5) vs Cristina Bucsa (+1.5) · Cristina Bucsa | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns · Liudmila Samsonova | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.23at 0.002Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$4.10at 0.180UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$3.32at 0.235Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova
- +$3.14at 0.245Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- +$3.04at 0.123Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 21:19 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:17 | Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Yi Zhou (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5699998385 | $1.20 |
| 09-27 21:17 | Game Spread: Zachary Svajda (-2.5) vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (+2.5) | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:38 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 13:00 | Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 12:59 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.6217923288 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:06 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns | BUY | 0.6 | $1.20 |
| 09-18 23:06 | Game Spread: Liudmila Samsonova (-1.5) vs Peyton Stearns (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:03 | Set Handicap: Iva Jovic (-1.5) vs Cristina Bucsa (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:54 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:35 | Set Handicap: Marta Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Liudmila Samsonova (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:40 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:39 | Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:04 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 19:25 | Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999386 | $1.30 |