0x724924919B3d684cE0400BC307788521d5Cef5Da-1786087515070
0x724924919b3d684ce0400bc307788521d5cef5da
- Realised P&L
- $-37.0k
- Volume
- $743.7k
- Markets traded
- 948
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded948
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.646 | 0.675 | $2.6k | +$111.19 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.635 | $2.4k | −$19.19 |
| Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.860 | 0.865 | $1.9k | +$11.42 |
| Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $680.55 | −$17.45 |
| Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.731 | 0.735 | $239.24 | +$1.23 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.730 | 0.735 | $118.48 | +$0.81 |
| Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw? · No | 0.730 | 0.735 | $108.34 | +$0.74 |
| Spread: Birmingham City FC (-4.5) · Birmingham City FC | 0.010 | 0.495 | $98.99 | +$97.00 |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC: Brentford FC O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.010 | 0.490 | $98.00 | +$96.00 |
| Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? · No | 0.730 | 0.745 | $78.90 | +$1.59 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.457 | 0.475 | $77.42 | +$2.88 |
| Belgium vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.010 | 0.200 | $40.00 | +$38.00 |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) · Belgium | 0.420 | 0.400 | $37.24 | −$1.86 |
| Denmark vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.400 | 0.385 | $36.84 | −$1.44 |
| Spread: Paris FC (-4.5) · Paris FC | 0.010 | 0.125 | $25.00 | +$23.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.399Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19?
- +$5.2kat 0.451Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-01?
- +$4.8kat 0.444Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20?
- +$4.7kat 0.546Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$3.1kat 0.458Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:15 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.28 | $6.19 |
| 09-28 22:15 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.28 | $6.19 |
| 09-28 20:40 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.06 |
| 09-28 20:40 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.07 |
| 09-28 20:40 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.07 |
| 09-28 20:25 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.71 | $16.76 |
| 09-28 20:25 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.71 | $16.76 |
| 09-28 20:25 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.71 | $16.83 |
| 09-27 23:35 | Raiders vs. Saints | SELL | 0.115 | $1.07 |
| 09-26 18:50 | Will North Macedonia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.50 |
| 09-26 18:50 | Will North Macedonia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.50 |
| 09-26 18:50 | Will North Macedonia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.50 |
| 09-26 18:50 | Will North Macedonia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.59 |
| 09-26 18:50 | Will North Macedonia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.50 |
| 09-26 18:50 | Will North Macedonia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.50 |