BuyYesYes
0x72403948452dce3b8aa5ec7f5e4ec6aae3f19906
- Realised P&L
- $-471.22
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $122.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.39at 0.161Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6?
- +$84.53at 0.471Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 3?
- +$70.19at 0.162Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?
- +$56.87at 0.261Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 27?
- +$51.31at 0.281Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.3859261717 | $9.30 |
| 10-12 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 10-12 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-11 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-11 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-09 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.56 | $14.00 |
| 10-09 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.26 |
| 10-07 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.52 |
| 10-06 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.37 |
| 10-04 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |