PolyBot

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Traders

0x723503f6Ab55dCc1dfe5Ba48256C7734e4e04961-1771271649306

0x723503f6ab55dcc1dfe5ba48256c7734e4e04961

Realised P&L
$-169.65
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$146.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes0.3890.195$143.31$142.85
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0870.028$3.16$6.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Up0.3020.000$0.00$20.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.3910.000$0.00$31.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.4530.000$0.00$12.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5AM ET · Down0.4310.000$0.00$3.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Up0.3050.000$0.00$3.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.4780.000$0.00$1.12
New Half-Life game by June 30? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$50.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00$23.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.3730.000$0.00$17.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.2810.000$0.00$24.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Down0.4090.000$0.00$4.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 21:00Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.2599999674$5.74
05-13 19:06New Half-Life game by June 30?BUY0.3893164279$9.09
05-13 09:54Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.3499999615$5.00
05-13 09:52Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0869999926$10.00
04-14 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.4099998237$0.92
04-14 17:42New Half-Life game by June 30?BUY0.0969254465$4.00
04-14 17:41Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?SELL0.56$30.04
04-09 08:47Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.4599999929$15.46
04-09 08:46Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?SELL0.51$15.45
04-02 23:09New Half-Life game by June 30?BUY0.4453910337$6.32
04-02 23:09US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?SELL0.44267507$6.32
03-17 09:04Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.5220780617$31.06
03-15 22:16Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSELL0.4323743569$10.93
03-15 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.389999986$9.72
03-15 22:11Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.02$1.00