0x723503f6Ab55dCc1dfe5Ba48256C7734e4e04961-1771271649306
0x723503f6ab55dcc1dfe5ba48256c7734e4e04961
- Realised P&L
- $-26.90
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $116.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.76at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$19.41at 0.340Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?
- +$17.78at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$16.79at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
- +$14.64at 0.406Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 21:00 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999674 | $5.74 |
| 05-13 19:06 | New Half-Life game by June 30? | BUY | 0.3893164279 | $9.09 |
| 05-13 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 09:52 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0869999926 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $0.92 |
| 04-14 17:42 | New Half-Life game by June 30? | BUY | 0.0969254465 | $4.00 |
| 04-14 17:41 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $30.04 |
| 04-09 08:47 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.4599999929 | $15.46 |
| 04-09 08:46 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $15.45 |
| 04-02 23:09 | New Half-Life game by June 30? | BUY | 0.4453910337 | $6.32 |
| 04-02 23:09 | US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | SELL | 0.44267507 | $6.32 |
| 03-17 09:04 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.5220780617 | $31.06 |
| 03-15 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.4323743569 | $10.93 |
| 03-15 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.389999986 | $9.72 |
| 03-15 22:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |