0x72307D615B77cE286CC194c49A54BA60F5847fE5-1761535065700
0x72307d615b77ce286cc194c49a54ba60f5847fe5
- Realised P&L
- $-208.41
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $17.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.085 | $17.00 | −$53.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.00at 0.790Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.71at 0.810Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
- +$-104.72at 0.560Grokipedia released by October 31?
- +$-107.40at 0.810Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 07:41 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 11-14 04:03 | Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.2k |
| 11-13 04:31 | Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.3k |
| 11-12 06:42 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.3k |