midterms
0x722cd7724ad3287ada5c3ccf3dec2ec455e67bde
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $493.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $350.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration94.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.627 | 0.715 | $330.8k | +$40.7k |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.630 | 0.725 | $17.6k | +$2.3k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.735 | $1.8k | +$237.50 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$520.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 09:17 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $520.00 |
| 10-21 14:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $35.3k |
| 10-14 15:39 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $14.8k |
| 10-14 12:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.62 | $97.9k |
| 10-14 11:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.6k |