subtenientepachon
0x722af3d9a9bb5e37ad226eddbbe0d1ca908116dc
- Realised P&L
- $-43.21
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.977 | $767.11 | +$37.11 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.970 | $752.91 | +$22.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.63at 0.985Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$-10.30at 0.923Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
- +$-36.54at 0.776Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 22:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.9881070826 | $1.4k |
| 10-03 21:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.984472604 | $1.4k |
| 09-29 17:18 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $577.65 |
| 09-07 13:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.7403565783 | $763.45 |
| 09-07 00:57 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.775796443 | $800.00 |
| 08-23 20:16 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999993 | $584.00 |
| 08-23 20:15 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $730.00 |
| 08-23 20:15 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9297325426 | $730.00 |