PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7226f0f85740e12C40C19bB2Da191dfDdcE98EFc-1774235039468

0x7226f0f85740e12c40c19bb2da191dfddce98efc

Realised P&L
$46.80
Volume
$24.1k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$54.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.1120.112$24.93−$0.07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3690.432$11.71+$1.71
Will the Democrats win Georgia in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.6000.655$8.73+$0.73
Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.9100.675$7.42−$2.58
Will the Democrats win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.8900.210$2.12−$6.88
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$4.00
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 04:19Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.1098352466$10.00
10-28 04:18Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.1139999995$15.00
10-28 04:17Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3689999864$10.00
10-27 17:59Will the Democrats win Georgia in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.599999985$8.00
10-27 17:58Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-27 17:57Will the Democrats win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.8899999941$9.00
10-19 15:55Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.24$30.00
07-19 16:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.411999987$10.00
04-21 19:22U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?BUY0.001$1.00
04-21 19:19Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.002$2.00
04-21 19:14Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.002$2.00
03-31 19:35Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.001205268$4.50
03-25 02:07Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.001$15.00
03-24 04:19Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY0.0210000003$2.00
03-24 04:09Trump out as President by March 31?BUY0.007$10.00