0x7226f0f85740e12C40C19bB2Da191dfDdcE98EFc-1774235039468
0x7226f0f85740e12c40c19bb2da191dfddce98efc
- Realised P&L
- $46.80
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $54.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.112 | $24.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.369 | 0.432 | $11.71 | +$1.71 |
| Will the Democrats win Georgia in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.655 | $8.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.675 | $7.42 | −$2.58 |
| Will the Democrats win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.210 | $2.12 | −$6.88 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.09at 0.247Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-2.00at 0.021Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
- +$-5.00at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.007Trump out as President by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 04:19 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1098352466 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 04:18 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1139999995 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 04:17 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3689999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 17:59 | Will the Democrats win Georgia in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.599999985 | $8.00 |
| 10-27 17:58 | Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 17:57 | Will the Democrats win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8899999941 | $9.00 |
| 10-19 15:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 16:33 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.411999987 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 19:22 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 19:19 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 04-21 19:14 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 03-31 19:35 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.001205268 | $4.50 |
| 03-25 02:07 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.00 |
| 03-24 04:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0210000003 | $2.00 |
| 03-24 04:09 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |