ccch
0x7220532631dd203cf8378d5235198ad338516fde
- Realised P&L
- $-628.06
- Volume
- $198.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $23.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.961 | $23.1k | +$2.4k |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes | 0.527 | 0.305 | $73.45 | −$53.46 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.814Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.846Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
- +$473.25at 0.954Nothing Ever Happens: December
- +$340.93at 0.850Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$340.77at 0.869Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 14:10 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.46 |
| 08-09 14:10 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | SELL | 0.5323524799 | $27.16 |
| 08-07 18:14 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $19.26 |
| 08-07 18:14 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $20.03 |
| 08-07 18:13 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $3.48 |
| 03-10 13:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.839992925 | $10.1k |
| 02-11 13:19 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 01-19 14:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.6k |
| 01-17 09:23 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.937 | $117.13 |
| 01-17 09:22 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.934 | $325.01 |
| 01-17 09:22 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.933 | $93.30 |
| 01-07 15:21 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $418.00 |
| 01-07 15:20 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $141.25 |
| 01-07 15:20 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $277.99 |
| 01-05 09:23 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $117.24 |