Altr
0x72202530288c9a0f55e919902349cc300179975a
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.468 | 0.666 | $988.87 | +$294.18 |
| Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.835 | 0.815 | $360.03 | −$8.70 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.300 | $6.00 | −$0.40 |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.550Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
- +$236.79at 0.690RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
- +$139.71at 0.754Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?
- +$63.65at 0.330Will Trump say "Secondary tariff" or "Sanction" during conference with Putin on August 15?
- +$39.49at 0.962Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:01 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-27 14:01 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-27 14:00 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8619653179 | $186.40 |
| 09-27 13:50 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 09-27 13:18 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-27 13:18 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-27 13:17 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-27 13:17 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8137848606 | $102.13 |
| 09-27 13:12 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-20 19:56 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.521 | $322.45 |
| 08-15 23:02 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15? | BUY | 0.22 | $0.30 |
| 08-15 20:33 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.51 |
| 08-15 20:30 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15? | BUY | 0.937 | $132.41 |
| 08-15 19:13 | Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.72 |
| 08-15 18:26 | Will Trump say "Secondary tariff" or "Sanction" during conference with Putin on August 15? | BUY | 0.33 | $31.35 |