0x721fb66635963d636adef779c43e637ae63ccef1
- Realised P&L
- $22.85
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $191.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.90at 0.321Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$6.73at 0.603Ravens vs. Colts
- +$6.19at 0.623Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$3.74at 0.731Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
- +$2.54at 0.799Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:57 | Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.938999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 00:57 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 00:11 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 00:11 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 12:43 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.9769999555 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 12:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $10.04 |
| 09-15 07:28 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.9799999647 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 07:28 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.01 |
| 09-14 23:40 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9919999175 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 23:39 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $9.98 |
| 09-14 17:21 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999128 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 17:21 | Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 15:27 | Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 15:27 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.975 | $10.04 |
| 09-14 13:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |