shonshon7
0x721a44efcdcb9edcad0bbd287c7569847368745f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.08
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $294.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.305 | $283.95 | +$30.69 |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes | 0.574 | 0.215 | $10.29 | −$17.20 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.20 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.00at 0.150Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
- +$98.96at 0.240Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
- +$60.40at 0.700Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
- +$33.86at 0.190Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
- +$32.00at 0.750Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 13:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.278 | $100.08 |
| 07-26 13:01 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.7353977385 | $37.07 |
| 07-26 12:48 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.7450865672 | $12.48 |
| 07-26 12:17 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.5742574234 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 14:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 17:10 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.54 | $205.20 |
| 06-14 16:09 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | SELL | 0.019 | $8.44 |
| 06-13 14:58 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY | 0.0089999978 | $4.00 |
| 06-09 21:51 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | SELL | 0.1271433674 | $35.60 |
| 06-08 03:37 | Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL | 0.66 | $162.02 |
| 06-08 03:15 | Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.6110441298 | $150.00 |
| 05-30 17:40 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.21 | $30.91 |
| 05-30 17:36 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.26 | $128.13 |
| 05-25 18:18 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 05-25 18:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.279 | $100.44 |